Monetary Policy Decisions of The Board Meeting (Mar. 20, 2003)
PRESS RELEASE Release Date: Mar. 20, 2003
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MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS OF THE BOARD MEETING
(Mar. 20, 2003)
As the U.S.-led war against Iraq and tensions on the Korean peninsula sag
investor and consumer confidence, the road to world economic recovery appears
bumpier than expected. Major forecasting institutes around the world have
therefore successively adjusted their projections of global growth rates
downwards. Nevertheless, given that inflationary pressure remains subdued, once
non-economic disturbances subside, the global economy will bottom out and regain
its momentum.
In regard to the Taiwan economy, bolstered by robust intra-regional trade in
Asia, Taiwan's exports have performed favorably, which translates into an
increase in industrial production, a decrease in inventory levels, as well as
higher capacity utilization and firms' profits. Encouraged by these positive
developments, consumer confidence has been restored gradually and private
investment has picked up. According to the Directorate General of Budget,
Accounting and Statistics (DGBAS) under the Executive Yuan (Cabinet), the Taiwan
economy will grow 3.38% in the first quarter of 2003 and is expected to grow
3.68% for the year as a whole. Prices remain stable with the CPI likely to rise
0.44% year on year. Labor market conditions improve as well. With the
government's active implementation of the project to create public
services-related jobs, it is expected that the severity of unemployment will
diminish.
To stimulate domestic demand, the CBC has maintained an easy monetary policy
since the end of 2000. To date, the discount rate has been cut on 14 occasions.
Low interest rates have encouraged consumption and investment and helped foster
economic growth. For the first two months of this year, monetary aggregate M2
expanded at an annual rate of 2.72%, and M2 plus bond funds grew 4.24%, both
within their respective target zones (1.5% to 5.5% and 3% to 7%). Meanwhile, the
NT dollar exchange rate remained stable. By taking into consideration the
economic and financial developments both at home and abroad, the Board of the
CBC reached the following decisions in its meeting on March 20, 2003:
1. The CBC decided to leave the discount rate, the rate on accommodations with
collateral and the rate on accommodations without collateral unchanged at
1.625%, 2.0% and 3.875%, respectively.
2. Since the last adjustment of the remunerative rate on banks' B reserve
accounts with the CBC on November 12, 2002, the interbank call-loan rate has
dropped from 1.9% to 1.2%, while the average rate on one-year time deposits
offered by the five leading domestic banks also declined from 2.11% to 1.54%. To
reflect the market trend, the CBC decided to lower the remunerative rate on
banks' B reserve accounts from 2.25% to 1.75%, effective from March 21.
3. In regard to the foreign exchange market, the CBC respects market mechanism
and the NT dollar exchange rate is in principle determined by market forces.
However, in cases when seasonal or irregular factors or irrational expectations
result in excessive volatility in the exchange rate, the CBC will step in, as
deemed appropriate, to maintain the dynamic stability of the NT dollar exchange
rate.
4. The CBC will continue engaging in open market operations and other measures
to fine-tune market liquidity with an aim to keep the monetary aggregates of M2
and M2 plus bond funds growing within the target zones. To gain an encompassing
perspective, the CBC observes movements in business cycles, prices, employment,
interest rates and exchange rates, among other important economic and financial
indicators, in its formulation of monetary policy.
5. The CBC keeps a close watch over the international political and economic
developments and will continuously adjust its policy in accordance with the
emerging economic and financial developments to foster a financial environment
conducive to economic recovery.